ESA title

Eoliann API for Banking Climate Change Physical Risk: global forecast of natural disasters’ probability, intensity, and impact.

Data Segment
  • Data Processing & Visualisation
  • Data Analytics, Insights & Applications
Cycle
  • Product Development
Eoliann is a climate tech startup that leverages satellite data and artificial intelligence to forecast the probability, intensity, and impact of climate events. The results offered will allow banks to be compliant with EBA Pillar 3 ESG Prudential scoring, enabling better estimation of probability of default (PD) and loss given default (LGD).
Objectives of the Product

The core of our offering is an API, seamlessly integrable into any existing software. Within seconds, our system can assess the climate risk associated with assets located anywhere within the European continent, offering a spatial resolution of 30 meters by 30 meters.
A key distinguishing feature of our approach is our commitment to objectivity. Unlike traditional methods that may exhibit historical biases, Eoliann’s methodology revolves around analysing the root causes of events. We continually update our data, prioritising the assessment of causal factors over historical occurrences. This ensures a climate change-proof prediction.


Customers and their Needs

According to a recent study from ECB, up to 30% of the European Banking Credit portfolio is exposed to climate risk. This means that banks may lose the collateral backing their loans, increasing the share of Non Performing Loans, deteriorating the banking credit score and, consequently, their solvency.
Considering Italy alone, the total banking loans to firms amount to €600 billion, of which 28% are classified as high or very high climate risk exposure according to the Bank of Italy. This implied a potential cost of €168 billion for the banking industry.
This situation highlights how climate disaster poses a severe threat to the financial stability of Europe. To address this, the European Banking Authority (EBA) is demanding that financial institutions integrate climate risk into their risk assessment processes and supervisory framework starting from 2025. Specifically, the regulation requires Banks to integrate the EBA Pillar 3 with a Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) Prudential scoring. This means that European banks will need to quantify the exposure of their credit portfolio to extreme climate events and disclose this to the banking authority.
Banks will need to estimate how the probability of default (PD) and the loss given default (LGD) of their exposure is affected by natural catastrophes.


Targeted customer/users countries

All the European continent.


Product description

The product consists of an interface providing climate risk assessment data related to different climate risks. The product primarily offers two customer-facing components: an Application Programming Interface (API) as the primary tool for end-users to access and utilise the product, and a Graphical User Interface (GUI) providing non-programmatic access to the data made available via the API. On the backend, a cloud infrastructure manages multiple algorithms, ensuring automation and scalability. These algorithms, rooted in physics, economics, and climate studies, compute the data points served through the API.
The API can be queried on European locations, provided by users either as a textual address or a pair of geographical coordinates. The output resolution is 30 m. The figure below shows the overall architecture and the key modules of the product.


Added Value

Eoliann’s climate risk assessment solution sets itself apart through several key differentiating and innovative features:

  • Dynamic modelling with monthly updates: Our approach employs dynamic modelling, with monthly updates based on satellite data, providing real-time insights and adaptability to changing climate conditions.
  • Urbanisation detection and modelling: Eoliann’s solution goes beyond climate data by detecting and incorporating urbanisation changes into the modelling, offering a holistic understanding of risk factors.
  • No historical biases, shifts to cause and effect analysis: We eliminate historical biases and focus on cause-and-effect analysis, allowing us to provide more accurate predictions.
  • Full European coverage: Thanks to satellite observations, Eoliann will offer full European coverage without any black spots, ensuring that no region is left without risk assessment capabilities.
  • Quantitative output: Our solution provides quantitative outputs, offering precise data-driven assessments for informed decision-making.
  • ML Algorithm for climate change detection: We use machine learning algorithms for climate change pattern detection, enhancing our predictive capabilities and staying ahead of emerging risks.

Current Status

Eoliann ESA InCubed activities and project implementation started on 7 May 2024. The Flood Risk Assessment module has been completed for all Europe. The Wildfire and Drought Risk Assessment modules are currently in progress. The next major milestone is foreseen for January 2025.

Prime Contractor Company
Eoliann S.r.l. società benefit
Italy Flag Italy
Contractor Project Manager
Name
Emidio Granito
Address
Via Bernardino Luini 8, Gallarate (VA), 21013
ESA Technical Officer
Name
Daniele Romagnoli

Current activities